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2024-12-13 05:44:09

Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: the data is in line with expectations, and there may be four interest rate cuts next year. Brian Jacobsen, chief economist of Annex Wealth Management, said: "There is nothing unexpected in the CPI report, and everything is in line with expectations. Housing cost is still the main driver of inflation. With the employment report and inflation report, nothing can stop the Fed from cutting interest rates by 25 basis points next week. What will be exciting is the summary of the Fed's economic forecast. There may be four interest rate cuts in 2025, and inflation will eventually fall to the target level. "Market News: Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips. Apple chips may be ready for production in 2026.Analyst Kaye: Consumer energy prices rose slightly month by month in November, but dropped by more than 3% compared with the same period last year. The prices of all kinds of gasoline dropped by more than 8% year-on-year. According to the data of the Automobile Club of the American Automobile Association, the average price of gas stations has been falling in recent weeks, approaching the threshold of $3 per gallon.


CEO of Wells Fargo: Consumer loans will not be tightened again.German Chancellor Angela Scholz called for a vote of confidence to pave the way for the February 23rd election.Cross-border communication: 1% of the company's shares held by the company's largest shareholder and its concerted action plan to be enforced. Cross-border communication (002640) announced on the evening of December 11 that Yang Jianxin, the company's largest shareholder and its concerted action person, Xinyu Ruijing Enterprise Management Service Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Xinyu Ruijing") may be forced to enforce the cross-border communication shares held by them due to a dispute over equity pledge debt. Three days after the disclosure of the announcement, The price of this enforcement is determined according to the market price at the time of reduction.


The Italian neo-Nazi organization planned to assassinate the Prime Minister, which was foiled by the police. According to the British Daily Telegraph on the 11th, an Italian neo-Nazi organization was accused of planning to assassinate Prime Minister Giorgiya meloni and World Economic Forum President klaus schwab, and the assassination plot was foiled by the police. (World Wide Web)The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds fell by 1.75 basis points, reaching a daily low of 4.2069% after the release of US CPI inflation data, and a daily high of 4.2496% 10 minutes before the release of data at 21:30 Beijing time. The yield of two-year US bonds reached a new low of 4.1032%, with the current decline exceeding 3.3 basis points, and it also reached a new high of 4.1741% at 21:17.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.

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